The Rational Cloning: Weekly Ideas #56
Just Tweets & Ideas That Make You Go… Hmm 🤔
Welcome to the 56th edition of the Rational Cloning Newsletter (Weekly Ideas Series).
Helping you discover the best ideas of others.
Happy cloning.
Weekly Investment Ideas
New Value Investing Letter Recap: Q3 2022
We discuss three new ideas:
- @East72Holdings Manchester United $MANU
- Vlata Fund's Lockheed Martin $LMT
- Palm Valley Capital's Two Staffing Ideas $KELYA $MAN
Enjoy!
Substacks That Make You Go… Hmm 🤔
🚨🚨 Bonds of Mass Destruction 🚨🚨
On Duration and Value Destruction...
👇👇
thelastbearstanding.substack.com/p/bonds-of-mas…
Tweets That Make You Go… Hmm 🤔
The U.S dollar is wreaking havoc globally, and it's only just starting to pick up momentum. You'd have thought by now that other nations would have bailed from its hegemony. But in reality, there's no way out... 1/
'The short-sale ratio is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns over the subsequent 12 months, outperforming any of a number of popular indicators used to forecast returns such as the price-to-earnings ratios.' marketwatch.com/story/one-of-t… by @MktwHulbert
For all the “when people are this bearish, stocks go up XXX% in the next XX months”
How about this fact: 100% of the time the Fed hikes and food & energy CPI > 5% we have a recession. Food/Energy CPI hit 22% this year. #recession is coming. #macro $SPY #data
Look who's bullish: Corporate insiders are buying their company stock again in size during this latest sell-off. As the saying goes, insiders sell for all kinds of reasons, but they only buy for one. Given the historical accuracy of their timing, it’s a glass-half-full sign.
Are you in for a 5min read ?
Here is an interesting Benjamin Graham article/ interview that is worth your time.
The year so far has been a perfect storm from an asset allocator’s perspective. Through September, cash has been the only safe haven.
Re: Inflation/Geopolitics-Geopolitical Mosh Pits & Sovereign Debt Endgames
Recent developments in the world have introduced an “Every Man For Himself” dynamic not just between adversaries but also between allies.
Welcome to the Geopolitical Mosh Pit. (THREAD)
Pleased to join Bridgewater Associates alongside @AngelaStent for a wide-ranging discussion on the current state of war in Ukraine--how it & Russia's role in an increasingly bipolar world are reshaping the global energy map. Listen⬇️
thanks for the write up